Coal Spontaneous Combustion Temperature Prediction Based on Fuzzy Combined Kernel Relevance Vector Machine

摘要

This paper proposes a fuzzy combined kernel relevance vector machine method for the coal spontaneous combustion temperature prediction to avoid the shortcomings of traditional machine learning algorithms, such as the large prediction error, the weak generalization ability of the single kernel function, and the inability to deal with abnormal values. First, build a platform to simulate the coal spontaneous combustion scene and obtain the data of different index gas concentrations and the coal spontaneous combustion temperature through experiments. Second, the fuzzy algorithm is used to give the training samples different membership degrees with attention, so as to reduce the influence of outliers on the model. Third, the combined kernel function weighted by the polynomial kernel function and Gaussian kernel function is used to construct the input sample matrix to map the data from the low-dimensional space to a high-dimensional space, so as to obtain a better training model. Finally, the fuzzy combined kernel relevance vector machine model is constructed and compared with methods based on the radial basis function neural network, least squares support vector machine, Gaussian kernel relevance vector machine, and combined kernel relevance vector machine to verify the effectiveness of prediction for coal spontaneous combustion temperature. The results show that the fuzzy combined kernel relevance vector machine not only has the characteristics of strong generalization ability and weakening the influence of abnormal data, but also with a more sparse model, which is suitable for the prediction of coal spontaneous combustion temperature.