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CONDITIONAL CAUSAL MODELING

机译:条件因果建模

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Based on the causal ordering theory, the notion of conditional causality has been developed. Conditional causality allows for the development of conditional causal models, in which the world can be modeled as a set of variables. One variable can influence another by a direct link between the two. Besides a direct influence, a variable can also influence another variable conditionally by changing the nature of a relation between two directly related variables. Predicting (forward) reasoning in causal direction, from cause to effect, and postdicting (backward) reasoning, searching for possible causes of an effect, are possible in a conditional causal model. Currently, conditional causal models are being applied in veterinary diagnosis and in the analysis of dairy farm food and grassland management. This paper gives a formal description of the notion of conditional causal models, an overview of related literature, and a brief description of the applications currently under development.
机译:在因果排序理论的基础上,发展了条件因果关系的概念。条件因果关系允许开发条件因果模型,其中世界可以建模为一组变量。一个变量可以通过两者之间的直接联系来影响另一个变量。除了直接影响之外,一个变量还可以通过改变两个直接相关的变量之间关系的性质来有条件地影响另一个变量。在条件因果模型中,从因果关系到结果的因果方向预测(前向)推理和后向(反向)推理,寻找结果的可能原因,都是可能的。目前,条件因果模型正在应用于兽医诊断以及奶牛场食品和草原管理分析。本文对条件因果模型的概念进行了正式描述,对相关文献进行了概述,并简要介绍了目前正在开发的应用程序。

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