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Editorial: Transport, Risk, and Individual Choices

机译:编辑:运输、风险和个人选择

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摘要

It is surprising that risk and uncertainty have a rather short history in economics. The distinction between risk and uncertainty is still not well accepted, although it was made clear almost a century ago by Frank Knight and John Maynard Keynes, two famous economists who studied probability theory and risk. To quote Frank Knight (1921): The practical difference between the two categories, risk and uncertainty, is that in the former the distribution of the outcome in a group of instances is known, while in the case of uncertainty, this is not true, the reason being in general that it is impossible to form a group of instances, because the situation being dealt with is in high degree unique.
机译:这是令人惊讶的,风险和不确定性而经济学历史很短。风险和不确定性仍之间的区别不是很接受,虽然它是明确表示近一个世纪前由弗兰克·奈特和约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯,两位著名经济学家的研究概率论和风险。骑士(1921):实际的区别两类,风险和不确定性在前的分布结果一组实例是已知的,而在这个案子的不确定性,这是不正确的,原因一般来说,它是不可能形成集团的实例,因为情况是在高度独特的处理。

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