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Explaining the Process for Conversion to Organic Dairy Farming in Sweden: An Alternative Modelling Approach

机译:解释转化为瑞典有机乳制品耕种的过程:一种替代建模方法

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To date, the process of conversion to organic farming has been analysed as a choice between only two alternatives, conventional versus organic farming. However, the conversion process in the EU is a twotier decision, which brings the possibility of a nested structure between mixed and organic farming. In the context of Sweden, where the conversion investment is flexible, we attempted to identify economic determinants of the organic conversion process. For that purpose, we applied the nested Logit random utility maximisation (NLRUM) model to data from the Swedish farm accounting data network for 2002-2012. The analysis showed that milk prices, milk yield and environmental support payments play a significant role in the organic conversion process. As expected, a decrease in conventional milk prices would induce conventional farms to convert to organic production. The scale of conversion to organic farming was more pronounced among dairy farms located in regions with higher environmental support payments, and in regions endowed with more pasture land and leys.
机译:迄今为止,已经将转化为有机农业的过程被分析为仅两种替代方案,即常规耕作与有机农业之间的选择。但是,欧盟的转换过程是一个较高的决定,它带来了混合和有机农业之间嵌套结构的可能性。在瑞典的背景下,转换投资是灵活的,我们试图确定有机转化过程的经济决定因素。为此,我们将嵌套的logit随机实用程序最大化(NLRUM)模型应用于2002 - 2012年瑞典农场会计数据网络的数据。分析表明,牛奶价格,牛奶产量和环境支持支付在有机转化过程中起着重要作用。正如预期的那样,常规牛奶价格的下降将诱使传统农场转化为有机生产。在具有较高环境支持支付的地区,在拥有更多牧场和利斯的地区的地区,转化为有机农业的规模更为明显。

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