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Three-way decision based on third-generation prospect theory with Z-numbers

机译:基于第三代前景理论的三元决策

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摘要

Three-way decision provides a practical and updated research orientation to deal with decision problems. In this article, a new three-way decision model combined with Z numbers and third-generation prospect theory is proposed. To construct the proposed model, Z-numbers are utilized to depict the decision information containing in the outcome matrix, uncertain reference points, and information table. All the Z-numbers are transformed into triangular fuzzy numbers for better calculating and processing to achieve this goal. The triangular fuzzy value functions and cumulative decision weights of the proposed model are determined based on third-generation prospect theory to derive maximum-prospect-value decision rules. Then, the properties and thresholds of decision rules are discussed and analyzed under Z-information environment. Considering a universal circumstance that there are no decision attributes in the information system, we utilize two multi-attribute decision-making methods with Z-numbers to estimate the conditional probability. Both two methods involve third-generation prospect theory for representing the risk attitude and preference of decision-makers. An illustrative example of the task assessment problem is presented to verify the efficacy of our model. Finally, we take the comparative analysis and some experiments to show the proposed model's performance and characteristics.
机译:三方决策为解决决策问题提供了一个实用且更新的研究方向。本文结合Z数和第三代前景理论,提出了一种新的三方决策模型。为了构建所提出的模型,Z数被用来描述结果矩阵、不确定参考点和信息表中包含的决策信息。为了更好地计算和处理,所有的Z数都被转换成三角模糊数,以实现这一目标。基于第三代前景理论,确定了该模型的三角模糊值函数和累积决策权重,推导了最大前景值决策规则。然后,讨论和分析了Z-信息环境下决策规则的性质和阈值。考虑到信息系统中不存在决策属性的普遍情况,我们利用两种具有Z数的多属性决策方法来估计条件概率。这两种方法都使用第三代前景理论来表示决策者的风险态度和偏好。以任务评估问题为例,验证了模型的有效性。最后,我们通过对比分析和一些实验来展示该模型的性能和特点。

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