Seasonal rainfall patterns classification, relationship to ENSO and rainfall trends in Ecuador

Tobar Vladimiro; Wyseure Guido

摘要

ABSTRACT >Water is one of Ecuador's most important natural resources, whose management should rely on good information and adequate models for the water balance. Although there are many studies focusing on rainfall and temperatures, most of them are localized for specific projects or study basins. The convergence of factors like its location in the Intertropical Convergence Zone, the Amazon River basin, the complex topography of the Andes, and being next to the Pacific Ocean impacted by the El Ni?o Southern Oscillation, modelling climate in Ecuador is a challenging task. > The aim of this research was to classify seasonal rainfall patterns, using robust procedures to deal with missing values and outliers. The selected database contained 319 stations with monthly rainfall from 1982 to 2011. A hierarchical clustering technique applied to the proportion of monthly rainfall percentiles allowed identifying four clusters that, when compared to a digital elevation model, resulted geographically related to Sierra, Coast, Amazon and Coast Orographic Sierra (COS). Coast shows strong seasonality with the dry season from June to November, while COS presents a similar pattern with moderate seasonality, the Amazon exhibits mild to no seasonality and the Sierra with a moderate seasonality. Interestingly, the Amazon seasonality enters rather deep into the Sierra through large river valleys. Cumulative differential plots of the <fi>s</fi> tandardized deleted deviations of monthly rainfall aided detecting cluster dependent El Ni?o effects in rainfall for Coast and COS. Correlations of rainfall <fi>versus</fi> SST at El Ni?o regions were also cluster dependent, with low to no significant correlations for Amazon, higher correlations for Coast and COS and moderate correlations for Sierra. Monthly rainfall </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span>None </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" > 著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-21026/'>《International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第4期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b> <span>共12页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Tobar Vladimiro&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Tobar Vladimiro;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Wyseure Guido&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Wyseure Guido;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de CuencaEcuador;</p> <p>Soil and Water Management DivisionKU LeuvenBelgium;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span> <a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/1232.html" title="气候学">气候学 ;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=seasonal&option=203" rel="nofollow">seasonal;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=rainfall patterns&option=203" rel="nofollow">rainfall patterns;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=cluster&option=203" rel="nofollow">cluster;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=ENSO&option=203" rel="nofollow">ENSO;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=trends&option=203" rel="nofollow">trends;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Andes&option=203" rel="nofollow">Andes;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Ecuador&option=203" rel="nofollow">Ecuador;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：季节性;降雨模式;集群;enso;趋势;andes;厄瓜多尔; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-journal-cn_journal-meteorological-research_thesis/0201278377563.html">Seasonal Prediction of Boreal Winter Rainfall over the Western Maritime Continent during ENSO</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Chih-Pei CHANG&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Chih-Pei CHANG,</a> <a 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