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Application of the Analytic Hierarchy Process to irrigation project improvement

机译:层次分析法在灌溉工程改进中的应用

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Performance improvement of existing irrigation projects has been a major concern in international irrigation development. Activities for irrigation project improvement usually involve not only infrastructure (hardware) improvement but also changes in management. However, the impact of management improvement on irrigation performance has not been sufficiently verified because, in most cases, (a) irrigation project evaluation is done qualitatively, and (b) management improvement is implemented simultaneously with hardware improvement. Therefore, the impact of management improvement needs to be evaluated quantitatively and separately from hardware. This research attempts to quantify effects of management and hardware improvements on irrigation project performance, using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). First, an AHP model for irrigation project evaluation was developed by using internal process indicators of the rapid appraisal process. Secondly, the AHP model was applied for scoring 16 irrigation projects dealt with in FAO Water Reports 19. Then, finally, effects of the evaluation factors (e.g. managing entities, hardware, water delivery services) on irrigation project performance were analyzed by changing weights of the evaluation factors and comparing correlations between AHP model scores and crop yields. The research showed the potential and effectiveness of AHP application to irrigation project evaluation. Also, it revealed that the quality of water delivery service had a significant impact on crop production. Analysis through correlation did not imply significant relationships among water delivery services, management and hardware. However, it is inferred from the result that there would be still more room to improve the AHP model toward better evaluation of the irrigation project by adding more internal process indicators to the model.
机译:现有灌溉项目的性能改进一直是国际灌溉发展的主要关注点。改善灌溉项目的活动通常不仅涉及基础设施(硬件)的改善,而且还涉及管理的变化。但是,管理改进对灌溉性能的影响尚未得到充分验证,因为在大多数情况下,(a)定性完成灌溉项目评估,并且(b)管理改进与硬件改进同时进行。因此,需要定量评估管理改进的影响,并与硬件分开评估。本研究试图使用层次分析法(AHP)来量化管理和硬件改进对灌溉项目绩效的影响。首先,通过使用快速评估过程的内部过程指标,建立了用于灌溉项目评估的AHP模型。其次,将AHP模型用于对粮农组织水报告19中涉及的16个灌溉项目进行评分。最后,通过改变权重,分析评估因素(例如管理实体,硬件,供水服务)对灌溉项目绩效的影响。评价因素并比较AHP模型得分与农作物产量之间的相关性。研究表明,层次分析法在灌溉工程评价中的应用潜力和有效性。此外,它还表明,供水服务的质量对农作物的生产有重大影响。通过相关性进行分析并不意味着供水服务,管理和硬件之间存在重要关系。但是,从结果可以推断出,通过向模型中添加更多的内部过程指标,可以进一步改善AHP模型,从而更好地评估灌溉项目。

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