Quantitative risk assessment for Optimum Mud weight window design: A case study

摘要

Deterministic approach in selecting mud weight window at pre-drill condition has uncertainties for wellbore stability analysis. Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) technique has been successfully used in pre-drill condition addressing the variability of input parameters like, principal stresses and rock properties. The output of this process recommends the mud weight window with probability of drilling success which can avoid the wellbore collapse and lost circulation events. This kind of stochastic approach to predict safe mud weight window can assure stable wellbore with significant cost effectiveness related to drilling success.