Serum concentrations of Ang-2 and Flt-1 may be predictive of pregnancy outcome in women with pregnancies of uncertain viability: a phase I exploratory prognostic factor study

摘要

The aim of this study was to determine whether serum concentrations of Ang-1, Ang-2, Flt-1, IL-15 and/or TRAIL can be used to predict outcome in women with pregnancies of uncertain viability (PUVs). Women presenting to the Early Pregnancy Unit at the Queen's Medical Centre in Nottingham between 17.06.14 and 01.09.15 were prospectively recruited. Serum concentrations of Ang-1, Ang-2, Flt-1, IL-15 and TRAIL were measured in women with PUVs. Women were followed-up according to departmental protocols until viability was determined. Biomarker concentrations were correlated with pregnancy outcome. Ninety-four PUVs were studied, of which 61 (64.9%) were subsequently proven to be viable. There were statistically significant (p.01), linear (p-value(trend) .01) associations between Ang-2 and Flt-1 concentrations and pregnancy viability such that women with lower concentrations were significantly more likely to have viable pregnancies than women with higher concentrations. In conclusion, Ang-2 and Flt-1 may be useful in predicting outcome in women with PUVs.Impact statementWhat is already known on this subject: Predicting outcome in women with pregnancies of uncertain viability (PUVs) is challenging. There is currently no accurate and reliable method. All PUVs need to be followed-up until a definitive diagnosis of either a viable or non-viable pregnancy can be made. This takes time, utilises limited resources and generates significant anxiety. Recent studies have demonstrated serum concentrations of Ang-1, Ang-2, Flt-1, IL-15 and TRAIL in viable pregnancies are significantly different to those in non-viable or ectopic pregnancies.What the results of this study add: The results from this prospective study of 94 women with PUVs suggest that serum concentrations of Ang-2 and Flt-1 may be able to predict pregnancy viability in cases of uncertainty. Women with PUVs and low concentrations of Ang-2 or Flt-1 are significantly more likely to have viable pregnancies than women with high concentrations.What the implications are of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research: Evidence from multiple studies is necessary to appreciate the discriminating ability of these prognostic factors. Rapid clinical adoption in the absence of such evidence may lead to wasted resources. If our findings are confirmed, however, these biomarkers, either alone or as part of a prognostic model, may be capable of accurately predicting pregnancy outcome in cases of uncertainty. This would reduce the strain on limited resources and alleviate anxiety for women.