Incorporating the impacts of climate change into infrastructure life cycle assessments: A case study of pavement service life performance

摘要

Abstract >Climate change is expected to impact both the operational and structural performance of infrastructures such as roads, bridges, and buildings. However, most past life cycle assessment (LCA) studies do not consider how the operational/structural performance of infrastructure will be affected by a changing climate. The goal of this research was to develop a framework for integrating climate change impacts into LCA of infrastructure systems. To illustrate this framework, a flexible pavement case study was considered where life‐cycle environmental impacts were compared across a climate change scenario and several time horizons. The Mechanistic‐Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) was utilized to capture the structural performance of each pavement performance scenario and performance distresses were used as inputs into a pavement LCA model that considered construction and maintenance/rehabilitation materials and activities, change in relative surface albedo, and impacts due to traffic. The results from the case study suggest that climate change will likely call for adaptive design requirements in the latter half of this century but in the near‐to‐mid term, the international roughness index (IRI) and total rutting degradation profile was very close to the historical climate run. While the inclusion of mechanistic performance models with climate change data as input introduces new uncertainties to infrastructure‐based LCA, sensitivity analyses runs were performed to better understand a comprehensive range of result outcomes. Through further infrastructure cases the framework could be streamlined to better suit specific infrastructures where only the infrastructure components with the greatest sensitivity to climate change are explicitly modeled using mechanistic‐empirical modeling routines. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“Main”XML：Lang =“en”> <标题类型=“main”>抽象</ title> >气候变化预计会影响道路，桥梁和建筑物等基础设施的运作和结构性绩效。然而，大多数过去的生命周期评估（LCA）研究都不考虑基础设施的运营/结构性能如何受到不断变化的气候影响。该研究的目标是制定一个框架，用于将气候变化的影响集成为基础设施系统的LCA。为了说明这一框架，考虑了一种柔性的路面案例研究，其中在气候变化场景和几个时间视野中比较了生命周期的环境影响。机械经验性路面设计指南（MEPDG）用于捕获每个人行道性能的结构性能，并且使用性能造福作为进入路面LCA模型的输入，考虑建筑和维护/康复材料和活动，相对表面的变化Albedo和由于交通导致的影响。案例研究的结果表明，气候变化可能会在本世纪下半年呼吁适应性设计要求，但在近期期间，国际粗糙度指数（IRI）和总车辙劣化配置文件非常接近历史气候运行。虽然将气候变化数据的机械性能模型包含为输入的基于基础设施的LCA的新的不确定性，但敏感性分析进行了运行，以更好地了解全面的结果结果。通过进一步的基础设施案例，可以简化框架，以更好地适合特定的基础设施，其中仅使用机械 - 经验模型惯例明确建模具有最大对气候变化敏感性的基础设施组件。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-34816/'>《Journal of Industrial Ecology》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2020年第2期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共13页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/21.html" title="环境科学、安全科学">环境科学、安全科学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=adaptation&option=203" rel="nofollow">adaptation;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=climate change&option=203" rel="nofollow">climate change;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=flexible pavement&option=203" rel="nofollow">flexible pavement;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=framework&option=203" rel="nofollow">framework;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=industrial ecology&option=203" rel="nofollow">industrial ecology;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=life cycle assessment&option=203" rel="nofollow">life cycle assessment;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：适应;气候变化;柔性路面;框架;工业生态学;生命周期评估; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon" id="literaturereference" style="display:none"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent111">引文网络</h3> <div class="referencetab clearfix"> <ul id="referencedaohang"> <li dataid="referenceul">参考文献</li> <li dataid="citationul">引证文献</li> <li dataid="commonreferenceul">共引文献</li> <li dataid="commoncitationul">同被引文献</li> <li dataid="tworeferenceul">二级参考文献</li> <li dataid="twocitationul">二级引证文献</li> </ul> </div> <div class="reference_details" id="referenceList"> <ul id="referenceul"></ul> <ul id="citationul"></ul> <ul id="commonreferenceul"></ul> <ul id="commoncitationul"></ul> <ul id="tworeferenceul"></ul> <ul id="twocitationul"></ul> </div> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704025610450.html">Incorporating the impacts of climate change into infrastructure life cycle assessments: A case study of pavement service life performance</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor"> </a> <a href="/journal-foreign-34816/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">Journal of Industrial Ecology .</a> <span>2020</span><span>,第2期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：将气候变化的影响纳入基础设施生命周期评估：以路面使用寿命性能为例</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>2. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-journal-foreign_teri-information-digest-energy-environment_thesis/0204122478991.html">Life-cycle assessment of climate change impact on time-dependent carbon-footprint of asphalt pavement</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Chen X&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Chen X,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Wang H&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Wang H,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Horton R&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Horton R,</a> <a href="/journal-foreign-10515/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">TERI Information Digest on Energy and Environment .</a> <span>2021</span><span>,第1期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：气候变化的生命周期评估对时间依赖性碳占碳覆盖物的影响</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-journal-foreign_transportation-research_thesis/0204121697874.html">Life-cycle assessment of climate change impact on time-dependent carbon-footprint of asphalt pavement</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Chen Xiaodan&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Chen Xiaodan,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Wang Hao&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Wang Hao,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Horton Radley&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Horton Radley,</a> <a href="/journal-foreign-2805/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">Transportation Research .</a> <span>2021</span><span>,第Feba期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：气候变化的生命周期评估对沥青路面时间依赖性碳足迹的影响</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>4. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-conference-foreign_meeting-226469_thesis/020515601901.html">Enhancing Pavement Design Selection by Incorporating Normalization into Life Cycle Impact Assessments</a> <b>[C]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=S. 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target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor"> . 柴雪</a> <span> <a href="/journal-cn-10084/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor"> . 交通世界（建养机械） </a> </span> <span> . 2012</span><span>,第005期</span> </span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>6. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-conference-cn_meeting-17023_thesis/020221754380.html">气候变化的制度因应：以建筑节能为例</a> <b>[C]</b> <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=申进忠&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor"> . 申进忠</a> <span> <a href="/conference-cn-17023/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor"> . 2009年全国环境资源法学研讨会 </a> <span> <span> . 2009</span> </span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>7. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-degree-domestic_mphd_thesis/020316310023.html">基于成本、能源和碳排放的路面预防性维护全生命周期评估研究—以赞比亚为例</a> <b>[A] </b> <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=维恩&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor"> . 维恩</a> <span> . 2020</span> </span> </div> </li> </ul> <ul style="display: none;"> <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/061204917126.html">未来气候变化对生物多样性影响与风险综合评估技术</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 中国专利： CN106940830B </span> <span> . 2022.02.18</span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>2. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06120109436497.html">未来气候变化对生物多样性影响与风险综合评估技术</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 中国专利： CN106940830A </span> <span> . 2017-07-11</span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130420905999.html">Aggregation of Life Cycle Impact Assessment Data and Generation of Life Cycle Impact Assessments and Scoring</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  US2013066672A1 </span> <span> . 2013-03-14</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：生命周期影响评估数据的汇总以及生命周期影响评估和评分的生成 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>4. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130408982759.html">Road asset owners/managers, local governments, state governments and Federal governments are target market . To provide a service and software that provides a Road Asset Geo-Data Log of road networks including undisturbed geological coring for the purpose of providing sub surface geo-data for future refer. This would include road pavement base layer/structural layers and sub-grade soil testing data. This data would provide a platform for desktop design along with a tool/method to validate assumptions associated with road asset management e.g. consumption ratios and life cycle assessments etc.</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  AU2017100020A4 </span> <span> . 2017-02-23</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：道路资产所有者/经理，地方政府，州政府和联邦政府是目标市场。提供一种服务和软件，可提供道路网络的道路资产地理数据日志，包括不受干扰的地质取芯，目的是提供地下地理数据以供将来参考。这将包括道路路面基层/结构层和路基土壤测试数据。该数据将提供用于桌面设计的平台以及用于验证与道路资产管理相关的假设的工具/方法，例如，消费比率和生命周期评估等 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>5. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130406091491.html">GENERATION METHOD AND SYSTEM OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT INFORMATION FOR INFRASTRUCTURE BASED FUZZY INFERENCE</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  KR101794800B1 </span> <span> . 2017-12-04</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：基于基础设施的模糊推理的气候变化影响评估信息的生成方法和系统 </span> </p> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> <div class="theme cardcommon" style="overflow: auto;display:none"> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent55">相关主题</h3> <ul id="subject"> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="right rightcon"> <div class="details_img cardcommon clearfix" style="margin-bottom: 10px;display:none;" > </div> </div> </div> <div id="thesis_get_original1" class="downloadBth" style="bottom: 19px;z-index: 999;" onclick="ywcd('0704025610450','4',7,2,1,'',this,24)" class="delivery" prompt="010401" title="通过人工服务将文献原文发送至邮箱" >获取原文</div> <div class="journalsub-pop-up" style="display: none"> <div class="journal-sub"> <h2>期刊订阅</h2> <img src="https://cdn.zhangqiaokeyan.com/img/loginclose.png" alt="关闭" onclick="$('.journalsub-pop-up').hide()"> <p class="pardon">抱歉，该期刊暂不可订阅，敬请期待！</p> <p class="current">目前支持订阅全部北京大学中文核心（2020）期刊目录。</p> <div 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