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Scenario planning: An investigation of the construct and its measurement

机译：情景规划：构建体的调查及其测量

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Abstract > Scenario‐planning academicians and practitioners have been observing for more than three decades the importance of this method in dealing with environmental uncertainty. However, there has been no valid scale that may help organizational leaders to act in practice. Our review of prior studies identifies some problems related to conceptualization, reliability, and validity of this construct. We address these concerns by developing and validating a measure of scenario planning based on Churchill's paradigm ( <fi>Journal of Marketing Research</fi> , 1979, <fi>16</fi> , 64–73). Our data analysis follows from a sample of 133 managers operating in the healthcare field in France. To validate our scale, we used three approaches: first, an exploratory factor analysis; second, an examination of psychometric proprieties of all dimensions; and third, a confirmatory factor analysis. The results of this study indicate that scenario planning is a multidimensional construct composed of three dimensions: information acquisition, knowledge dissemination, and scenario development and strategic choices. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract XMLNS =“http://www.wiley.com/namespaces/wiley”type =“main”xml：lang =“en”> <标题类型=“main”>抽象</ title> > 方案规划的院士和从业者一直在观察到三十多年了这一方法在处理环境不确定性方面的重要性。但是，没有有效的规模可以帮助组织领导人在实践中采取行动。我们对先前研究的审查标识了与此构建体的概念化，可靠性和有效性有关的一些问题。我们通过开发和验证基于Churchill的范式的方案规划衡量标准来解决这些问题（ <FI>营销研究杂志</ FI> 1979年， <fi> 16 </ fi> ，64-73）。我们的数据分析从法国医疗保健领域运营的133名经理样本遵循。为了验证我们的规模，我们使用了三种方法：第一，探索性因子分析;其次，检查所有尺寸的心理学专用;第三，确认因素分析。该研究的结果表明，情景规划是由三个维度组成的多维构造：信息获取，知识传播和情景发展和战略选择。 </ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-34460/'>《Journal of Forecasting》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第4期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共17页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Bouhalleb Arafet&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Bouhalleb Arafet;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Smida Ali&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Smida Ali;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Management SciencesUniversité Paris 13 NordVilletaneuse France;</p> <p>Management SciencesUniversité Paris 13 NordVilletaneuse France;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/3359.html" title="未来学">未来学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Churchill paradigm&option=203" rel="nofollow">Churchill paradigm;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=reliability&option=203" rel="nofollow">reliability;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=scenario planning&option=203" rel="nofollow">scenario planning;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=validity&option=203" rel="nofollow">validity;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：丘吉尔范式;可靠性;情景规划;有效性; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704025548334.html">Scenario planning: An investigation of the construct and its measurement</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Bouhalleb Arafet&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Bouhalleb Arafet,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Smida Ali&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Smida Ali </a> <a href="/journal-foreign-34460/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">Journal of Forecasting .</a> <span>2018</span><span>,第4期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：情景规划：构建体的调查及其测量</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>2. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-journal-foreign_international-journal-intelligent-systems-accounting-finance-and-management_thesis/020414109901.html">CONSTRUCTING A KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEM TO AID SCENARIO-BASED STRATEGIC PLANNING: AN APPLICATION TO THE EUROPEAN AIRLINE INDUSTRY</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=FIONA DAVIES&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">FIONA DAVIES,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=LUIZ MOUTINHO&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">LUIZ MOUTINHO,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=GRAEME HUTCHESON&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">GRAEME HUTCHESON </a> <a href="/journal-foreign-465/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">International journal of intelligent systems in accounting, finance & management .</a> <span>2005</span><span>,第2期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：构建基于知识的系统以辅助基于场景的战略规划：在欧洲航空业中的应用</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/070403582984.html">Component-wise Method of Smoothing the Curvature of Spatial Paths Constructed by Noisy Measurements in Robot Motion Planning Problems</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=R. 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