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Weather variability and travel behaviour - what we know and what we do not know

机译:天气变异性和旅行行为 - 我们所知道的以及我们不知道的东西

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摘要

Given that severe weather conditions are becoming more frequent, it is important to understand the influence of weather on an individual's daily activity-travel pattern. While some previously rare events are becoming more common, such as heavy rain, unpredicted snow, higher temperatures, it is still largely unknown how individuals will change and adapt their travel patterns in future climate conditions. Because of this concern, the number of research studies on weather and travel behaviour has increased in recent decades. Most of these empirical studies, however, have not used a cost-benefit analysis (CBA) framework, which serves as the the main tool for policy evaluation and project selection by stakeholders. This study summarises the existing findings regarding relationships between weather variability and travel behaviour, and critically assesses the methodological issues in these studies. Several further research directions are suggested to bridge the gap between empirical evidence and current practices in CBA.
机译:鉴于恶劣的天气条件变得更加频繁,重要的是要了解天气对个人日常活动旅行模式的影响。虽然一些以前罕见的事件变得越来越普遍,例如大雨,未预测的雪,更高的温度,但它仍然很大程度上是个人如何在未来的气候条件下改变和适应他们的旅行模式。由于这一问题,近几十年来,天气和旅行行为的研究次数增加。然而,这些实证研究中的大部分都没有使用成本效益分析(CBA)框架,该框架是利益攸关方的政策评估和项目选择的主要工具。本研究总结了有关天气变异性和旅行行为之间的关系的现有结果,并批判性评估这些研究中的方法论问题。建议提出几个进一步的研究方向,以弥合CBA中经验证据与现行实践之间的差距。

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