Ageing Places in an Ageing Country: The Local Dynamics of the Elderly Population in Spain

Gutiérrez Posada Diana; Rubiera Morollón Fernando; Vi?uela Ana

摘要

Abstract >Spain is an ageing country, and the present demographic burden is not homogeneously distributed across space. Will the aged population be evenly distributed in the future, or will disparities broaden over time? Identifying the spatial patterns of the aged population concentration and the existence of a demographic burden convergence/divergence process is a pertinent question in Spain after the regional devolution the country has undergone in the last decades and the coexistence of different regimes. In this paper, we use a non‐parametric approach (geographically weighted regressions) to identify the determinants of the ageing dynamics, checking for the existence of a convergence/divergence ageing process after controlling for the socio‐economic characteristics of the Spanish municipalities. Although global estimations support the convergence hypotheses posed, GWR results show a significant variability of the effects depending on the area considered, which calls for a careful treatment of the results both for analysis and policy purposes. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract XMLNS =“http://www.wiley.com/namespaces/wiley”type =“main”xml：lang =“en”> <标题类型=“main”>抽象</ title> >西班牙是一个老化的国家，目前的人口负担并不遍布空间。老年人的人口将来会均匀分布，或者将随着时间的推移差异扩大？确定年龄人口浓度的空间模式以及人口负荷收敛/发散过程的存在是西班牙在过去几十年中经历了不同政权的共存之后，西班牙的相关问题是西班牙的相关问题。在本文中，我们使用非参数方法（地理加权回归）来识别老化动态的决定因素，检查在控制西班牙城市的社会经济特征后的收敛/发散老化过程的存在。尽管全球估计支持所带来的收敛假设，但GWR结果根据所考虑的区域显示效应的显着变化，这呼吁仔细治疗结果分析和政策目的。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-31532/'>《Tijdschrift voor economische en sociale geografie》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第3期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共18页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Gutiérrez Posada Diana&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Gutiérrez Posada Diana;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Rubiera Morollón Fernando&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Rubiera Morollón Fernando;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Vi?uela Ana&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Vi?uela Ana;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>University of Oviedo Regional Economics Laboratory (REGIOlab) Sala n° 1 Ala 5 Piso 2° del Ed. Departamental de CC. Jurídico‐Sociales. Avda. del Cristo S/N33006 ‐ Oviedo Asturias (Spain);</p> <p>University of Oviedo Regional Economics Laboratory (REGIOlab) Sala n° 1 Ala 5 Piso 2° del Ed. Departamental de CC. Jurídico‐Sociales. Avda. del Cristo S/N33006 ‐ Oviedo Asturias (Spain);</p> <p>University of Oviedo Regional Economics Laboratory (REGIOlab) Sala n° 1 Ala 5 Piso 2° del Ed. Departamental de CC. Jurídico‐Sociales. Avda. del Cristo S/N33006 ‐ Oviedo Asturias (Spain);</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/3030.html" title="世界经济地理">世界经济地理;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=ageing population&option=203" rel="nofollow">ageing population;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=concentration&option=203" rel="nofollow">concentration;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=demographic burden&option=203" rel="nofollow">demographic burden;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=spatial heterogeneity&option=203" rel="nofollow">spatial heterogeneity;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=geographically weighted regressions&option=203" rel="nofollow">geographically weighted regressions;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：人口老龄化;浓度;人口负担;空间异质性;地理加权回归; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon" id="literaturereference" style="display:none"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent111">引文网络</h3> <div class="referencetab clearfix"> <ul id="referencedaohang"> <li dataid="referenceul">参考文献</li> <li dataid="citationul">引证文献</li> <li dataid="commonreferenceul">共引文献</li> <li dataid="commoncitationul">同被引文献</li> <li dataid="tworeferenceul">二级参考文献</li> <li dataid="twocitationul">二级引证文献</li> </ul> </div> <div class="reference_details" id="referenceList"> <ul id="referenceul"></ul> <ul id="citationul"></ul> <ul id="commonreferenceul"></ul> <ul id="commoncitationul"></ul> <ul id="tworeferenceul"></ul> <ul id="twocitationul"></ul> </div> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704024929918.html">Ageing Places in an Ageing Country: The Local Dynamics of the Elderly Population in Spain</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Gutiérrez Posada Diana&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Gutiérrez Posada Diana,</a> <a 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