Reliability analysis of degradable networks with modified BPR

摘要

In this paper, the effect of the speed limit on degradable networks with capacity restrictions and the forced flow is investigated. The link performance function considering the road capacity is proposed. Additionally, the probability density distribution and the cumulative distribution of link travel time are introduced in the degradable network. By the mean of distinguishing the value of the speed limit, four cases are discussed, respectively. Means and variances of link travel time and route one of the degradable road network are calculated. Besides, by the mean of performing numerical simulation experiments in a specific network, it is found that the speed limit strategy can reduce the travel time budget and mean travel time of link and route. Moreover, it reveals that the speed limit strategy can cut down variances of the travel time of networks to some extent.