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Trend Change Study of Climate Variables in Xin'anjiang-Fuchunjiang Watershed, China

机译:中国新安江-富春江流域气候变量趋势变化研究

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This study emphasizes the precipitation and the maximum and minimum temperature trend and presents the results of study in temporal and spatial scales, after performing statistical analysis of the Xin'anjiang-Fuchunjiang watershed. Statistical Mann Kendall and Theil Sen techniques were used to determine the trend and its magnitude, respectively, and for determining the start and abrupt change in the trend, Sequential Mann Kendall test has been performed. Furthermore, statistical tests were performed to determine the overall trend in the area at a regional basis. For the removal of the serial effect of the data, prewhitening technique is applied. In this study, statistical tests were performed at 1901-2013 precipitation and temperature series and then after detection of the change year precipitation data were divided into two different scenarios of 1901-1960 period and 1961-2013 period. The results showed that precipitation trend is insignificant while maximum and minimum temperature have increased during 1901-2013 period except for some stations of autumn and summer seasons.
机译:在对新安江-富春江流域进行了统计分析之后,本研究着重于降水以及最高和最低温度趋势,并提出了时空尺度上的研究结果。统计Mann Kendall和Theil Sen技术分别用于确定趋势及其幅度,并且为了确定趋势的开始和突然变化,已进行了顺序Mann Kendall测试。此外,进行了统计测试,以确定区域基础上该地区的总体趋势。为了消除数据的串行效应,应用了预白化技术。在这项研究中,对1901-2013年的降水和温度序列进行了统计检验,然后在检测到变化年份之后,将降水数据分为1901-1960年和1961-2013年两个不同的情景。结果表明,除了秋季和夏季的一些气象站外,1901-2013年期间降水趋势微不足道,最高和最低温度均升高。

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