Regional variation in Holocene climate quantified from pollen in the Great Plains of North America

Commerford Julie L.; Grimm Eric C.; Morris Christopher J.; Nurse Andrea; Stefanova Ivanka; McLauchlan Kendra K.

摘要

ABSTRACT > The Great Plains experienced extreme fluctuations in precipitation and temperature throughout the Holocene, but these fluctuations have been difficult to quantify systematically across the region. Pollen has long been used as a proxy for reconstructing climate changes, but its power is limited if a region is devoid of modern pollen samples to facilitate comparison with known climate conditions. Here, we present a set of pollen‐climate transfer functions developed using weighted‐averaging partial least squares to reconstruct mean annual precipitation (MAP), mean temperature of the coldest month (MTcold) and mean temperature of the warmest month (MTwarm). At the foundation of these transfer functions is a new set of 141 modern pollen samples that specifically cover the climate space of the Great Plains. These functions quantify the relationship between pollen assemblages and modern climate in this region ( <fi>r</fi> = 0.928, 0.838 and 0.897 for MAP, MTcold and MTwarm, respectively). We applied these functions to three previously established pollen records taken from lacustrine sites in the region – Fox Lake, MN; Moon Lake, ND; and Kettle Lake, ND – to reconstruct precipitation and temperature at these sites throughout the Holocene. Annual precipitation reconstructed with these transfer functions at Moon Lake and Kettle Lake does not capture a severe, prolonged period of drought during the mid‐Holocene as seen in many other proxy records from these sites and from the region. Reconciliation of these results involves both the autecology of Ambrosia and the inability of any pollen surface samples to capture seasonal and short‐term variability in precipitation. Thus, the transfer functions correctly reconstruct periodic wet summers and a disturbance factor favouring <fi>Ambrosia</fi> , b </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract XMLNS =“http://www.wiley.com/namespaces/wiley”type =“main”xml：lang =“en”> <title type =“main”>抽象</ title> >伟大平原在全新世中经历了极端的降水和温度波动，但这些波动难以在该地区系统地系统地量化。花粉长期以来一直被用作重建气候变化的代理，但如果一个地区没有现代花粉样品，其力量是有限的，以便于与已知的气候条件进行比较。在这里，我们提出了一套使用加权平均部分最小二乘来开发的花粉气候转移函数，以重建平均年降水量（MAP），最冷的月份（MTCold）的平均温度和最温暖的月的平均温度（MTWARM）。在这些转移职能的基础上是一套新的141个现代花粉样本，专门覆盖了大平原的气候空间。这些功能量化了该区域的花粉组合和现代气候之间的关系（<fi> R </ fi> = 0.928,0.838和0.897，分别用于地图，MTCOLD和MTWARM）。我们将这些职能应用于三个以前建立了从该地区的湖泊遗址 - 福克斯湖（Mn）的花粉记录; Moon Lake，ND;和水壶湖，ND - 在整个全新世中重建这些网站的降水和温度。在月亮湖和水壶湖中重建的年降水量在月亮湖和水壶湖中未捕捉到中全新世时期的严重，长时间的干旱时期，如这些网站和该地区的许多其他代理记录中所见。这些结果的和解涉及ambrosia的自身生态以及任何花粉表面样品的无法无法捕获沉淀的季节性和短期变异性。因此，转移功能正确地重建了周期性的湿夏天和扰动因子<fi> ambrosia </ fi>，b </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" > 著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-21026/'>《International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第4期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b> <span>共14页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Commerford Julie L.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Commerford Julie L.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Grimm Eric C.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Grimm Eric C.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Morris Christopher J.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Morris Christopher J.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Nurse Andrea&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Nurse Andrea;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Stefanova Ivanka&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Stefanova Ivanka;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=McLauchlan Kendra K.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">McLauchlan Kendra K.;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Department of GeographyDartmouth CollegeHanover NH USA;</p> <p>Department of Earth SciencesUniversity of MinnesotaMinneapolis MN USA;</p> <p>Department of GeographyKansas State UniversityManhattan KS USA;</p> <p>Climate Change InstituteUniversity of MaineOrono ME USA;</p> <p>Department of Earth SciencesUniversity of MinnesotaMinneapolis MN USA;</p> <p>Department of GeographyKansas State UniversityManhattan KS USA;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span> <a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/1232.html" title="气候学">气候学 ;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=grasslands&option=203" rel="nofollow">grasslands;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Great Plains&option=203" rel="nofollow">Great Plains;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=paleoclimate&option=203" rel="nofollow">paleoclimate;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=pollen&option=203" rel="nofollow">pollen;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=transfer functions&option=203" rel="nofollow">transfer functions;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Ambrosia&option=203" rel="nofollow">Ambrosia;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=WAPLS&option=203" rel="nofollow">WAPLS;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：草原;大平原;古气候;花粉;转移功能;ambrosia;wapls; 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