Analysis & Prediction of Road Accident Data for Indian States

摘要

This paper studies Linear trend mathematical model which is based on time series for forecasting of no. of road accidents in Indian states. Forecasting is done for five segments as total no. of accidents, total no. of people injured, total no. people killed, total no. of people killed on National highways and total no. of people killed on State highways. Analysis and forecasting are done for Uttar Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Rajasthan. This model is state variant and forecasts the accident data for the year 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 (Data for 2017 is not available till date). The data taken for modeling is from the year 2012 to 2016.