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Spatiotemporal characteristics of wind energy resources from 1960 to 2016 over China

机译:1960年至2016年中国风能资源的时空特征

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摘要

In the paper, daily near-surface wind speed data from 462 stations are used to study the spatiotemporal characteristics of the annual and seasonal mean wind speed (MWS) and effective wind energy density (EWED) from 1960 to 2016, through the methods of kriging interpolation, least-squares, correlation coefficient testing, and empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. The results show that the annual MWS is larger than 3 m s(-1) and the EWED is larger than 75 W m(-2) in northern China and parts of coastal areas. However, the MWS and EWED values in southern China are all smaller than in northern China. Over the past 50 years, the annual and seasonal MWS in China has shown a significant decreasing trend, with the largest rate of decline in spring for northern China and winter for coastal areas. The annual MWS in some areas of Guangdong has an increasing trend, but it shows little change in southwestern China, South China, and west of Central China. Where the MWS is high, the rate of decline is also high. The main spatial distributions of the annual MWS and the annual EWED show high consistency, with a decreasing trend year by year. The decreasing trend of wind speed and wind energy resources in China is mainly related to global warming and land use/cover change.
机译:在本文中,来自462个电台的每日近地表风速数据用于研究年龄和季节性风速(MWS)和有效风能密度(EWED)的时尚特征,通过Kriging的方法,从1960年到2016年插值,最小二乘,相关系数测试和经验正交功能(EOF)分析。结果表明,年度MWS大于3米(-1),而EWED在中国北部和沿海地区的一部分大于75 W M(-2)。然而,中国南部的MWS和EWED值均小于中国北方。在过去的50年中,中国的年度和季节性兆瓦已经表现出显着下降的趋势,北方北部春季和沿海地区的冬季最大的下降率。广东省某些地区的年度兆克趋势越来越大,但它在中国西南部,华南和西部地区都表现出很少的变化。在MWS很高的地方,下降率也很高。年度MWS的主要空间分布和年度EWED显示出高一致性,逐年减少趋势。中国风速和风能资源的趋势下降主要与全球变暖和土地使用/掩护变革有关。

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