Application of the GIS based multi-criteria decision analysis and analytical hierarchy process (AHP) in the flood susceptibility mapping (Tunisia)

摘要

Flooding is considered as the most dangerous natural catastrophe in the world. This paper develops a spatial multi-criteria decision production prototype for the evaluation of flooding susceptibility for the city of Tunis. Eight criterions were considered in order to identify and assess the spatial distribution of hazardous zones and were integrated in the Geographical Information System (ArcGIS). The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) is a mathematical technique for flood hazard modeling and decision support based on the weight and rank of each flood factor in order to calculate Flood Hazard Index (FHI) to generate a flood susceptibility map. This was classified from very low to very high classes flood potential. Five classes are observed: 2.85% (very low), 7.5% (low), 17.95% (moderate), 20.63% (high), and 51.06% (very high). FHI was coupled with a sensitivity analysis to derive the Flood Hazard Index with sensitivity (FHIS). This index evaluates the effect of each criteria which allows for better assessment of the role of each parameter in flood susceptibility. The results of this study provide a basis to limit the impacts of flood and protect urban zone against inundation.