Modeling first bid in retail secondary market online auctions: A Bayesian approach

机译：在零售二级市场建模首次出价在线拍卖：贝叶斯方法

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Abstract >We propose a Bayesian framework to model bid placement time in retail secondary market online business‐to‐business auctions. In doing so, we propose a Bayesian beta regression model to predict the first bidder and time to first bid, and a dynamic probit model to analyze participation. In our development, we consider both auction‐specific and bidder‐specific explanatory variables. While we primarily focus on the predictive performance of the models, we also discuss how auction features and bidders' heterogeneity could affect the bid timings, as well as auction participation. We illustrate the implementation of our models by applying to actual auction data and discuss additional insights provided by the Bayesian approach, which can benefit auctioneers. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“Main”XML：Lang =“en”XML：ID =“ASMB2498-ABS-ABS-0001”> <标题类型=“main”>抽象</ title> >我们提出了一个贝叶斯框架，以在零售二级市场在线业务到业务拍卖中模拟投标频率。在这样做时，我们提出了贝叶斯β回归模型，以预测首次出价的第一个投标人和时间，以及用于分析参与的动态概率模型。在我们的开发中，我们考虑拍卖特定和特定于投标人的解释性变量。虽然我们主要专注于模型的预测性能，但我们还讨论了拍卖功能和投标人的异质性如何影响出价时机以及拍卖会。我们通过申请实际拍卖数据来说明我们的模型的实施，并讨论贝叶斯方法提供的额外见解，可以使拍卖者受益。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-19344/'>《Applied stochastic models in business and industry》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2020年第3期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共13页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/1147.html" title="应用数学">应用数学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=beta regression&option=203" rel="nofollow">beta regression;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=bidder behavior&option=203" rel="nofollow">bidder behavior;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=B2B auction&option=203" rel="nofollow">B2B auction;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=dynamic probit&option=203" rel="nofollow">dynamic probit;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：β回归;投标人行为;B2B拍卖;动态探测器; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704022680282.html">Modeling first bid in retail secondary market online auctions: A Bayesian approach</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor"> </a> <a href="/journal-foreign-19344/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">Applied stochastic models in business and industry .</a> <span>2020</span><span>,第3期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：在零售二级市场建模首次出价在线拍卖：贝叶斯方法</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>2. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-journal-foreign_mis-quarterly_thesis/0204121954649.html">INCORPORATING THE TIME-ORDER EFFECT OF FEEDBACK IN ONLINE AUCTION MARKETS THROUGH A BAYESIAN UPDATING MODEL</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Chau Michael&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Chau Michael,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Li Wenwen&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Li Wenwen,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Yang Boye&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Yang Boye,</a> <a href="/journal-foreign-1063/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">MIS quarterly .</a> <span>2021</span><span>,第2期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：通过贝叶斯更新模型在线拍卖市场中的反馈时间效应</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-journal-foreign_ieee-transactions-cognitive-communications-networking_thesis/020414976606.html">Bid and Time Truthful Online Auctions in Dynamic Spectrum Markets</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Chowdhury Sayeed Hyder&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Chowdhury Sayeed Hyder,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Thomas D. 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href="/patent-detail/06120113956541.html">一种社会福利最大化的零售电价套餐优化模型的建模方法</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 中国专利： CN114037161A </span> <span> . 2022-02-11</span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130414777540.html">UquoteMe is a method and process that disrupts the traditional B2C sales model for all Goods or Services by preceding the traditional B2C sales model with a C2B market-tender procurement model and then resumes the B2C sales model via a competitive silent bid auction. The innovation in UquoteMe is that SELLERS competitively bid via silent auction and that BUYERS remain anonymous until they transact.</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  AU2015100661A4 </span> <span> . 2015-06-18</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：UquoteMe是一种方法和过程，通过在传统B2C销售模型之前进行C2B市场投标采购模型来破坏所有商品或服务的传统B2C销售模型，然后通过竞争性的无声竞价拍卖恢复B2C销售模型。 UquoteMe的创新之处在于，卖家通过无声拍卖竞争性地出价，而买家在交易之前一直保持匿名。 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>4. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130430824356.html">System and Method for Market Reserve Price Modeling in Online Auctions with Advanced Match</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  US2009164298A1 </span> <span> . 2009-06-25</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：具有高级匹配的在线拍卖中市场储备价格建模的系统和方法 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>5. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130446463671.html">E-COMMERCE METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR ONLINE OPPORTUNISTIC AUCTIONS IN COMMERCIAL SECONDARY MARKETS</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  WO0055754A8 </span> <span> . 2001-11-15</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：商业二级市场中在线机会拍卖的电子商务方法和系统 </span> </p> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> <div class="theme cardcommon" style="overflow: auto;display:none"> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent55">相关主题</h3> <ul id="subject"> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="thesis_get_original1" class="downloadBth" style="bottom: 19px;z-index: 999;" onclick="ywcd('0704022680282','4',7,2,1,'',this,24)" class="delivery" prompt="010401" title="通过人工服务将文献原文发送至邮箱" >获取原文</div> <div class="journalsub-pop-up" style="display: none"> 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