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Hydrological and agricultural droughts assessment in a semi-arid basin: Inspecting the teleconnections of climate indices on a catchment scale

机译:半干旱盆地的水文和农业干旱评估:检查气候指数对集水区的电信连接

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摘要

The hydrological and agricultural droughts and their characteristics were evaluated using the Standardized Streamflow Index (SSFI) and Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSI) across the Konya Closed Basin (KCB) in Turkey, respectively. The Modified Mann-Kendall (MMK) trend method was applied to detect trends over the KCB. Furthermore, the teleconnections of various large-scale climate indices (LSCI: NAO, AO, PDO, SCAND, POLEUR and EA/WR) over 3-month SSFI and SSI series were considered through cross wavelet transform (XWT) technique. The analysis indicated an increase in drought duration and severity since 1999. The MMK test revealed significant negative trends for SSFI series at different time scales, A series of MMK test on different SSI series exhibited trendless behavior over the northern parts of the KCB; however, significant negative (positive) trend on southeastern (southwestern) area appeared to be prevailing. Moreover, the results of XWT analysis in association with different LSCI and SSFI/SSI series demonstrated multiple considerable common powers on lower periods (Le., less than 8 month). The XWT analysis showed significant relationship between the LSCI with drought indices in some periods and the absence of such associations in the remaining period.
机译:在土耳其的标准化流流量指数(SSFI)和标准化的土壤湿度指数(SSI)分别在土耳其的标准化流程指数(SSFI)和标准化的土壤水分指数(SSI)中评估了水文和农业干旱及其特征。修改的Mann-Kendall(MMK)趋势方法应用于检测KCB上的趋势。此外,通过交叉小波变换(XWT)技术考虑了超过3个月SSFI和SSI系列的各种大规模气候指数(LSCI:Nao,AO,PDO,Scand,Plot和EA / WR)的遥控器。分析表明,自1999年以来的干旱持续时间和严重程度增加。MMK测试在不同的时间尺度下显示了SSFI系列的显着负趋势,这一系列MMK测试不同SSI系列的MMK测试在KCB的北部地区呈现无规者行为;然而,东南(西南)地区的显着负面(正面)趋势似乎是盛行的。此外,与不同LSCI和SSFI / SSI系列相关联的XWT分析结果在较低时期(LE.,不到8个月)上显示了多种相当大的常见权力。 XWT分析显示LSCI在某些时期与干旱指数之间的重要关系,并且在剩下的时间内没有这种关联。

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