Increased Extreme Coastal Water Levels Due to the Combined Action of Storm Surges and Wind Waves

Marcos Marta; Rohmer Jérémy; Vousdoukas Michalis Ioannis; Mentaschi Lorenzo; Le Cozannet Gonéri; Amores Angel

摘要

Abstract >The dependence between extreme storm surges and wind waves is assessed statistically along the global coasts using the outputs of two numerical models consistently forced with the same atmospheric fields. We show that 55% of the world coastlines face compound storm surge wave extremes. Hence, for a given level of probability, neglecting these dependencies leads to underestimating extreme coastal water levels. Dependencies are dominant in midlatitudes and are likely underestimated in the tropics due to limited representation of tropical cyclones. Furthermore, we show that in half of the areas with dependence, the estimated probability of occurrence of coastal extreme water levels increases significantly when it is accounted for. Translated in terms of return periods, this means that along 30% of global coastlines, extreme water levels expected at most once in a century without considering dependence between storm surges and waves become a 1 in 50‐year event. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“Main”XML：Lang =“en”> <标题类型=“main”>抽象</ title> >极端风暴浪涌和风波之间的依赖性使用输出统计地评估全球海岸两个数值模型一直迫使使用相同的大气领域。我们表明，55％的世界海岸线面临复合风暴浪涌波极端。因此，对于给定水平的概率，忽略这些依赖性导致低估极端沿海水平。依赖性在中层占主导地位，由于热带气旋的有限表示，在热带地区可能低估。此外，我们表明，在有依赖的区域的一半，沿海极端水平的发生的估计可能性在占据核算时显着增加。在退货期间翻译，这意味着沿着30％的全球海岸线，最多在一个世纪中最多的极端水量，而不考虑风暴浪涌和波浪之间的依赖，成为50年的事件中的1。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-23539/'>《Geophysical Research Letters》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2019年第8期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共9页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Marcos Marta&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Marcos Marta;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Rohmer Jérémy&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Rohmer Jérémy;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Vousdoukas Michalis Ioannis&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Vousdoukas Michalis Ioannis;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Mentaschi Lorenzo&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Mentaschi Lorenzo;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Le Cozannet Gonéri&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Le Cozannet Gonéri;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Amores Angel&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Amores Angel;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>IMEDEA (CSIC‐UIB)Esporles Spain;</p> <p>French Geological Survey (BRGM)Orléans France;</p> <p>European CommissionJoint European Research Centre (JRC)Ispra Italy;</p> <p>European CommissionJoint European Research Centre (JRC)Ispra Italy;</p> <p>French Geological Survey (BRGM)Orléans France;</p> <p>IMEDEA (CSIC‐UIB)Esporles Spain;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/163.html" title="地球物理学">地球物理学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=sea level extremes&option=203" rel="nofollow">sea level extremes;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=storm surges&option=203" rel="nofollow">storm surges;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=wind waves&option=203" rel="nofollow">wind waves;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=compound events&option=203" rel="nofollow">compound events;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=coastal flooding&option=203" rel="nofollow">coastal flooding;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：海平极端;风暴飙升;风波;复合事件;沿海洪水; 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href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=赵昕&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">,赵昕</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=李琳琳&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">,李琳琳</a> <span> <a href="/conference-cn-66801/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor"> . 中国海洋研究会2018年学术年会 </a> <span> <span> . 2019</span> </span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>7. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-degree-domestic_mphd_thesis/020312852959.html">基于Monte Carlo与水动力模型的沿海风暴潮极端水位预测研究</a> <b>[A] </b> <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=李小敏&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor"> . 李小敏</a> <span> . 2012</span> </span> </div> </li> </ul> <ul style="display: none;"> <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/061204767824.html">一种沿海多地风暴潮联合自然强度分析方法</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 中国专利： CN108021786B </span> <span> . 2021.11.09</span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>2. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06120113022228.html">海平面上升和风暴潮对沿海农业区域风险的评估方法</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 中国专利： CN113065770A </span> <span> . 2021-07-02</span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130499965240.html">SYSTEM TO PREVENT AND MITIGATE STORM SURGE DAMAGE, SEA-LEVEL RISE DAMAGE, RIVERINE FLOODING DAMAGE COMPRISING MODIFIED CONCRETE CULVERTS, PEDESTRIAN ACCESS AND NATURAL COASTAL, RIVER, CREEK, AND WETLAND ECOSYSTEMS</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  US2021148068A1 </span> <span> . 2021-05-20</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：制度为了防止和减轻风暴浪涌损坏，海平面上升损伤，河流洪水损坏，包括改进的混凝土涵洞，行人访问和自然沿海，河流，溪和湿地生态系统 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>4. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130500977785.html">System to prevent and mitigate storm surge damage, sea-level rise damage, riverine flooding damage comprising modified concrete culverts, pedestrian access and natural coastal, river, creek, and wetland ecosystems</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  US11168450B2 </span> <span> . 2021-11-09</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：制度为了防止和减轻风暴浪涌损伤，海平面上升损伤，河流洪水损坏，包括改进的混凝土涵洞，行人访问和自然沿海，河流，溪和湿地生态系统 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>5. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130403066782.html">method of намыва seas on the energy of waves and particles contained in the sea water of soil. way to absorb kinetic energy of the sea waves in the coastal seas.the pool гидроупорный hydraulic barrier for the dissipation of energy and the dissipation of sea waves (options).method of energy dissipation of sea waves through the impact on the hydraulic barrier device and energy dissipation of sea waves in the form of a hydraulic barrier гидроупорного pool for ga decision and диссипации harnessing the energy of ocean waves with high pass water volumes in unit time by the sea and at the same time low pass water in unit time back into the sea.device for дифференцирования speed waves on them) and to дифференцирования permits direct and reverse flow in the coastal seas (options)</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  RU2018137098A3 </span> <span> . 2019-09-05</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：海洋利用土壤中所含波和粒子的能量的方法。在沿海海域吸收海浪动能的方式。池гидроупорный液压屏障用于能量的消散和海浪的消散（选件）。以液压障碍гидроупорного池的形式进行海浪的能量消散，以便进行ga决策和диссипации充分利用海浪的能量，并在海上利用单位时间内高通水量，同时在单位时间内将低通水回输到海水中sea.device用于在其上进行дифференцирования速度波）和дифференцирования允许在沿海海域进行正向和反向流动（可选） </span> </p> </li> </ul> </div> </div> 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