Observations of Local Positive Low Cloud Feedback Patterns and Their Role in Internal Variability and Climate Sensitivity

Yuan Tianle; Oreopoulos Lazaros; Platnick Steven E.; Meyer Kerry

摘要

Abstract >Modeling studies have shown that cloud feedbacks are sensitive to the spatial pattern of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, while cloud feedbacks themselves strongly influence the magnitude of SST anomalies. Observational counterparts to such patterned interactions are still needed. Here we show that distinct large‐scale patterns of SST and low‐cloud cover (LCC) emerge naturally from objective analyses of observations and demonstrate their close coupling in a positive local SST‐LCC feedback loop that may be important for both internal variability and climate change. The two patterns that explain the maximum amount of covariance between SST and LCC correspond to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, leading modes of multidecadal internal variability. Spatial patterns and time series of SST and LCC anomalies associated with both modes point to a strong positive local SST‐LCC feedback. In many current climate models, our analyses suggest that SST‐LCC feedback strength is too weak compared to observations. Modeled local SST‐LCC feedback strength affects simulated internal variability so that stronger feedback produces more intense and more realistic patterns of internal variability. To the extent that the physics of the local positive SST‐LCC feedback inferred from observed climate variability applies to future greenhouse warming, we anticipate significant amount of delayed warming because of SST‐LCC feedback when anthropogenic SST warming eventually overwhelm the effects of internal variability that may mute anthropogenic warming over parts of the ocean. We postulate that many climate models may be underestimating both future warming and the magnitude of modeled internal variability because of their weak SST‐LCC feedback. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“Main”XML：Lang =“en”> <标题类型=“main”>抽象</ title> >建模研究表明，云反馈对海表面温度的空间模式敏感（SST ）异常，而云反馈本身强烈影响SST异常的大小。仍然需要观察对应物对这种模式相互作用。在这里，我们表明SST和低云覆盖（LCC）的不同大规模模式自然地从客观分析出来，并在正局部SST-LCC反馈回路中展示它们的密切耦合，对内部变异和气候都很重要改变。解释SST和LCC之间的最大协方差量的两种模式对应于跨跨越太平洋振荡和大西洋多型振荡，主要的多个内部变异模式。 SST和LCC异常的空间模式和时间序列与两种模式相关联，指向强大的正本地SST-LCC反馈。在许多当前的气候模型中，我们的分析表明，与观察结果相比，SST-LCC反馈强度太弱。建模本地SST-LCC反馈强度影响模拟内部变异性，以便更强大的反馈产生更强烈和更具现实的内部变异模式。在观察到的气候变化中推断出局部阳性SST-LCC反馈的物理到未来的温室变暖时，我们预计由于SST-LCC在人为SST变暖时，我们预期大量的延迟变暖，最终会使内部变异性的影响压倒可能静音在海洋各地的人为温暖。我们假设许多气候模型可能会低估未来的变暖和由于SST-LCC反馈的弱反馈，因为它们弱的内部变异性。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" > 著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-23539/'>《Geophysical Research Letters 》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第9期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b> <span>共8页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Yuan Tianle&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Yuan Tianle;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Oreopoulos Lazaros&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Oreopoulos Lazaros;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Platnick Steven E.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Platnick Steven E.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Meyer Kerry&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Meyer Kerry;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Joint Center for Earth Systems TechnologyUniversity of Maryland Baltimore CountyBaltimore MD USA;</p> <p>Earth Sciences DivisionNASA Goddard Space Flight CenterGreenbelt MD USA;</p> <p>Earth Sciences DivisionNASA Goddard Space Flight CenterGreenbelt MD USA;</p> <p>Earth Sciences DivisionNASA Goddard Space Flight CenterGreenbelt MD USA;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span> <a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/163.html" title="地球物理学">地球物理学 ;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=patterns of cloud feedback&option=203" rel="nofollow">patterns of cloud feedback;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=internal variability&option=203" rel="nofollow">internal variability;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=delayed warming&option=203" rel="nofollow">delayed warming;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=weak modeled feedback&option=203" rel="nofollow">weak modeled feedback;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=implied stronger warming&option=203" rel="nofollow">implied stronger warming;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：云反馈模式;内部变异性;延迟变暖;模型反馈薄弱;暗示更强的变暖; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704019851898.html">Observations of Local Positive Low Cloud Feedback Patterns and Their Role in Internal Variability and Climate Sensitivity</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Yuan Tianle&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Yuan 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