Bayesian Inference for Small-Sample Capture-Recapture Data

摘要

We consider data on the survival of a population of Cephalorhynchus hectori, Hector's dolphins, in a marine area of New Zealand. To estimate survival probabilities of animal populations, a multiple capture-recapture sampling scheme can be used. In this paper, we proposed a practical methodology to derive approximations to posterior distributions based on Laplace methods. We show how to calculate Bayes estimates and credible intervals in this setting.