An improved mean estimator for judgment post-stratification

摘要

We prove that the standard nonparametric mean estimator for judgment post-stratification is inadmissible under squared error loss within a certain class of linear estimators. We derive alternate estimators that are admissible in this class, and we show that one of them is always better than the standard estimator. The reduction in mean squared error from using this alternate estimator can be as large as 10% for small set sizes and small sample sizes.