Stochastic DEMATEL for structural modeling of a complex problematique for realizing safe, secure and reliable society

摘要

In this paper we propose a revised Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL), called stochastic DEMATEL, to extract structural model of a complex problematique and to represent the priority of each factor taking into account the uncertainty of structure. In the stochastic DEMATEL, the uncertainty of structure is expressed as a stochastic model. From numerical experiments and experimental analyses, the following results are obtained: when the structure is uncertain, stochastic DEMATEL could extract the features of structure by the degree of dispatching influences and the degree of central role; stochastic composite importance could express the uncertainty of priority and decide the priority taking into account the attitude of the decision maker; pessimistic, neutral or optimistic.