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Multi-stage sequential sampling models with finite or infinite time horizon and variable boundaries

机译:具有有限或无限时间范围和可变边界的多阶段顺序采样模型

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The multi-stage decision model, aka multiattribute attention switching model, assumes a separate sampling process for each attribute and switching attention from one attribute to the next in a sequential fashion during one trial. Here the model is extended to finite and infinite time horizons and to non-constant boundaries. For a finite time horizon the model predicts a probability of not deciding within the available time. Two different families of non-constant boundaries are implemented, one with a nonlinear decrease, one with a constant boundary at the beginning and a linear decrease towards the deadline. Furthermore, it is shown how the stochastic process underlying each attribute of the multi-stage model (Wiener or Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process) can be discretized by a birth-death chain to implement all the relevant model features and how to provide speeded calculations. Several numerical examples are provided demonstrating the effect of the order of attribute processing (order schedule) and boundary properties. It is shown that, regardless of the time horizon or the non-constant boundaries, the order schedule is the determinant to predict a consistent choice probability/choice response time pattern including preference reversals and fast errors. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译:多阶段决策模型(又称为多属性注意力切换模型)假设每个属性都有一个单独的采样过程,并在一个试验期间按顺序将注意力从一个属性切换到下一个属性。在这里,模型扩展到有限和无限的时间范围以及非恒定边界。对于有限的时间范围,模型预测在可用时间内未做出决定的可能性。实现了两个不同的非恒定边界族,一个族具有非线性减小,一个族在开始时具有恒定的边界,并且在截止日期前呈线性减小。此外,它显示了如何通过出生死亡链来离散化多阶段模型的每个属性基础的随机过程(维纳或奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克过程)以实现所有相关的模型特征以及如何提供快速的计算。提供了几个数值示例,以说明属性处理的顺序(顺序计划)和边界属性的效果。结果表明,无论时间跨度或非恒定边界如何,订单计划都是预测一致的选择概率/选择响应时间模式的决定因素,包括偏好反转和快速错误。 (C)2016 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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