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Application of ANP methodology in evaluation of advanced technologies

机译:ANP方法论在先进技术评估中的应用

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Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to develop a decision tool to help managers make more informed decisions regarding their investments in advanced manufacturing technologies. Design/methodology/approach - Selection of a new technology is multidimensional in nature and interdependent relationships exist among various elements of the system. In addition, both quantitative and qualitative factors need to be considered in the evaluation process. The Analytic Network Process (ANP) methodology satisfies these requirements by considering interdependencies among all the factors and by allowing transformation of qualitative judgments into quantitative values for the decision analysis. These capabilities of ANP make it a perfect methodology for use in the development of our decision tool. Once technology alternatives and selection criteria are identified by the decision maker, several pair-wise comparisons are conducted to determine local priorities for the selection criteria and alternatives. These priorities are then used to determine the overall priorities for the alternatives. The technology alternative with the highest overall priority is chosen for adoption. Findings - Allowing for interdependencies among selection criteria, as well as between alternatives and selection criteria, provides a more realistic evaluation process than other selection processes that ignore such interdependencies. Practical implications - The model provides decision makers a tool for evaluating several competitive technology alternatives and selecting the most appropriate technology for adoption. Originality/value - The paper discusses the inclusion of the subjective judgments of the decision maker in the evaluation process and use of ANP methodology for transforming these judgments into quantitative values for rankings of the alternatives.
机译:目的-本文的目的是开发一种决策工具,以帮助管理人员就其在先进制造技术上的投资做出更明智的决策。设计/方法/方法-新技术的选择本质上是多维的,并且系统的各个元素之间存在相互依赖的关系。此外,在评估过程中需要同时考虑定量和定性因素。通过考虑所有因素之间的相互依赖性,并允许将定性判断转换为定量值以进行决策分析,分析网络过程(ANP)方法满足了这些要求。 ANP的这些功能使其成为开发我们决策工具的理想方法。一旦决策者确定了技术选择和选择标准,便会进行成对比较,以确定选择标准和选择的本地优先级。然后,将这些优先级用于确定替代方案的总体优先级。选择具有最高总体优先级的技术替代方案。结果-与其他忽略此类相互依赖性的选择过程相比,允许选择标准之间以及备选方案和选择标准之间具有相互依赖性。实际意义-该模型为决策者提供了一种工具,用于评估几种竞争性技术替代方案并选择最合适的技术来采用。原创性/价值-本文讨论了在评估过程中包括决策者的主观判断,以及使用ANP方法将这些判断转化为定量值以进行备选方案排名的问题。

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