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Age estimation in Egyptian children by measurements of carpals and epiphyses of the ulna and radius

机译:通过测量尺骨和radius骨的腕骨和骨ses估计埃及儿童的年龄

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摘要

One of the most frequently used area for age estimation, in children and adolescents, is hand-wrist. This retrospective study of 257 Egyptian children and adolescents (142 boys and 115 girls), aged 4-18 years, used the ratio between the total area of carpal bones and epiphyses of the ulna and radius (Bo) and carpals (Ca) as age indicators. Age calculated, using a formula reported earlier for an Italian sample, resulted in a standard error of estimate of 1.96 years. The new regression model for the Egyptian population, describing age as a linear function of gender (g) and the ratio between carpal bones area and carpal area (Bo/Ca), yielded the following equation: Age=-0.998+18.708 (Bo/Ca)+1.724. g (Bo/Ca). This model explained 71% of total variance. The median of the absolute values of residuals (observed-predicted age) was -1.67 years, with a standard error of estimate of 1.85 years. It can be concluded that the Cameriere's method is not completely suitable for the Egyptian sample and a new modified formula was proposed.
机译:在儿童和青少年中,最常用的年龄估计区域之一是手腕。这项对4至18岁的257名埃及儿童和青少年(142名男孩和115名女孩)进行的回顾性研究使用了腕骨的总面积和尺骨骨epi和radius骨(Bo)和腕骨(Ca)的比例作为年龄指标。使用先前针对意大利样品报告的公式计算的年龄导致估计的标准误差为1.96年。针对埃及人口的新回归模型将年龄描述为性别(g)和腕骨面积与腕骨面积之比(Bo / Ca)的线性函数,得出以下方程式:年龄= -0.998 + 18.708(Bo / Ca)+1.724。 g(Bo / Ca)。该模型解释了总方差的71%。残差绝对值(观察到的预计年龄)的中位数为-1.67年,估计的标准误为1.85年。可以得出结论,Cameriere的方法并不完全适用于埃及样本,并提出了新的修改公式。

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