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Application of Radar Wind Observations for Low-Level NWP WindForecast Validation

机译:雷达风观测在低空NWP风预报验证中的应用

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摘要

The Finnish Meteorological Institute has produced a new numerical weather prediction model-based wind atlas of Finland. The wind atlas provides information on local wind conditions in terms of annual and monthly wind speed and direction averages. In the context of the wind atlas project, low-level Applications of Research to Operations at Mesoscale (AROME) model wind forecasts have been validated against radar radial wind observations and, as a comparison, against conventional radiosonde observationsto confirm the realism of the wind forecasts. The results indicate that the systematic and random errors in the AROME wind forecasts are relatively small and are of the same order of magnitude independent of the validating observation type. The validation benefits from the high spatial and temporal resolution of the radar observations. There are over 4000 times as many radar observations as radiosonde observations available for the considered validation period of July 2008-May 2009.
机译:芬兰气象研究所已经制作了一份新的基于数值天气预报模型的芬兰风图集。风向图根据年度和每月的风速和风向平均值提供有关当地风况的信息。在风图集项目的背景下,已经针对雷达径向风观测结果验证了中尺度运行研究(AROME)模型风向预报的低级应用,并与常规无线电探空仪观测进行了比较,从而确认了风向预报的真实性。结果表明,AROME风预报中的系统误差和随机误差相对较小,并且与验证观测类型无关,其误差大小相同。验证得益于雷达观测的高时空分辨率。在考虑的2008年7月至2009年5月的验证期内,雷达观测的数量是探空仪观测数量的4000倍以上。

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