The Economics of Biofuel Policy and Biotechnology

摘要

This paper employs a partial equilibrium trade framework to show that biofuel policy can substitute for traditional agricultural policy intended to boost farm welfare. It also shows how food market volatility can induce periods of boom and bust in theethanol industry, causing episodes of bankruptcy and reduced capital investment. This paper further models the effects of two specific technological innovations--cellulosic ethanol and agricultural biotechnology--on food and fuel markets and demonstrates that technology can reduce ethanol market volatility. A parameterized model is used to characterize the impacts of biofuels on food and fuel markets.