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Aid and Income: Another Time-series Perspective

机译:援助与收入:另一种时间序列视角

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This study provides a replication of the empirical results reported by Nowak-Lehmann, Dreher, Herzer, Klasen, and Martinez-Zarzoso (2012) (henceforth NDHKM). We uncover that NDHKM relied on a regression model which included a log transformation of variables that are not strictly positive. This led to nonrandom omission of a large proportion of observations. Furthermore, we show that NDHKM's use of co-integrated regressions is not a suitable empirical strategy for estimating the causal effect of aid on income. Evidence from a Panel VAR model estimated on the dataset of NDHKM, suggests a positive and statistically significant long-run effect of aid on income. (C) 2014 UNU-Wider. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
机译:这项研究重复了Nowak-Lehmann,Dreher,Herzer,Klasen和Martinez-Zarzoso(2012)(以下简称NDHKM)报告的经验结果。我们发现NDHKM依赖于回归模型,该模型包括严格非正态变量的对数变换。这导致大部分观察结果是非随机遗漏的。此外,我们表明NDHKM使用协整回归不是评估援助对收入的因果关系的合适经验方法。根据NDHKM数据集估算的Panel VAR模型的证据表明,援助对收入具有长期的积极影响,并且具有统计学意义。 (C)2014联合国大学威德学院。由Elsevier Ltd.发布

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