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首页> 外文期刊>Disasters: The International Journal of Disaster Studies and Practice >The impacts of climate change on the risk of natural disasters.
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The impacts of climate change on the risk of natural disasters.

机译:气候变化对自然灾害风险的影响。

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摘要

Human emissions of greenhouse gases are already changing our climate. This paper provides an overview of the relation between climate change and weather extremes, and examines three specific cases where recent acute events have stimulated debate on the potential role of climate change: the European heatwave of 2003; the risk of inland flooding, such as recently in Central Europe and Great Britain; and the harsh Atlantic hurricane seasons of 2004 and 2005. Furthermore, it briefly assesses the relation between climate change and El Nino, and the potential of abrupt climate change. Several trends in weather extremes are sufficiently clear to inform risk reduction efforts. In many instances, however, the potential increases in extreme events due to climate change come on top of alarming rises in vulnerability. Hence, the additional risks due to climate change should not be analysed or treated in isolation, but instead integrated into broader efforts to reduce the risk of natural disasters.
机译:人类排放的温室气体已经在改变我们的气候。本文概述了气候变化与极端天气之间的关系,并考察了最近发生的急性事件引发了关于气候变化的潜在作用的辩论的三种具体情况:2003年欧洲热浪; 2003年欧洲热浪; 2003年欧洲热浪。内陆洪水的风险,例如最近在中欧和英国的洪水;以及2004年和2005年严峻的大西洋飓风季节。此外,它简要评估了气候变化与厄尔尼诺现象之间的关系,以及突然发生的气候变化的可能性。极端天气的几种趋势已经足够清楚,可以为减少风险工作提供依据。但是,在许多情况下,由于气候变化而导致的极端事件的潜在增加是在脆弱性令人震惊的上升之上。因此,不应孤立地分析或处理由于气候变化而造成的其他风险,而应将其纳入减少自然灾害风险的更广泛的努力中。

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