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The Long-Expected Transition Will Finally Arrive In 2007

机译:期待已久的过渡最终将在2007年到来

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摘要

Every year, we need to look ahead and make plans for the coming year. Some years are easier than others. This is one of those years when nothing is easy. There are so many conflicting signals flying around that on one hand business (namely machinery) looks like it could easily keep flourishing for another couple of years without hesitation. On the other hand, warnings of problems pop up related to the whole business cycle that tell you that there are going to be some changes and that they are not on the upside. A quick look at where we have been since our last forecast shows that economically, the Feds have been tightening interest rates ever so diligently for the past two years or so, which you know will eventually cause some problems on the downside. Variable interest rates on home mortgages have skyrocketed and credit cards with variable interest rates on unpaid balances are getting a little sticky if one pays only a portion of the monthly bills.
机译:每年,我们都需要向前看并为来年制定计划。有些年份比其他年份容易。这是不容易的那些年之一。围绕着如此之多的矛盾信号,一方面,企业(即机械)似乎可以毫不犹豫地轻松地保持繁荣。另一方面,与整个业务周期相关的问题警告会弹出来,告诉您将要进行一些更改,并且这些更改并不乐观。快速浏览一下自上次预测以来的情况,从经济角度来看,美联储在过去两年左右的时间里一直在竭尽全力地加息,您知道最终将导致一些不利因素。如果房屋抵押贷款的浮动利率飙升,而未付余额的浮动利率信用卡则变得有些发粘,如果人们只支付每月账单的一部分。

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