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Coping with uncertainties in integrated urban water management

机译:应对城市综合水管理中的不确定性

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摘要

In the practice of integrated water management we meet complexity, subjectivity and uncertainties. Uncertainties come into play when new urban water management techniques are applied. The art of a good design is not to reduce uncertainties as much as possible, but to find the middle course between cowardice and recklessness. This golden mean represents bravery. An interdisciplinary approach is needed to reach consensus. Calculating uncertainties by using Monte Carlo simulation results may be helpful.
机译:在综合水资源管理的实践中,我们遇到了复杂性,主观性和不确定性。当应用新的城市水管理技术时,不确定性开始起作用。一个好的设计的技巧不是要尽可能减少不确定性,而是要找到怯ward与鲁ck之间的中间路线。这个中庸的代表勇敢。需要一种跨学科的方法来达成共识。使用蒙特卡洛模拟结果计算不确定性可能会有所帮助。

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