The use of sounding-derived indices for a neural network short-term thunderstorm forecast

摘要

In this paper several indices derived from atmospheric sounding data are used to develop a short-term thunderstorm forecast tool. The Udine ( Italy) sounding ( WMO code 16044, taken every 6 h, hereafter 6 h) is used to describe the initial conditions in which a thunderstorm may develop in the Friuli Venezia Giulia region. The tool forecasts the convective activity in the 6 h after the sounding is launched.