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CREAMS/GLEAMS: model use, calibration, and validation. (Special Issue: Model use, calibration, and validation.)

机译:CREAMS / GLEAMS:模型的使用,校准和验证。 (特刊:模型的使用,校准和验证。)

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The Chemicals, Runoff, and Erosion from Agricultural Management Systems (CREAMS) model was developed by a multidisciplinary team of research scientists from the USDA Agricultural Research Service. The primary purpose of the model was to aid the USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) specialists in assessing nonpoint-source pollution from agricultural areas and to compare impacts of alternative management practices. Existing readily modifiable and new components were assembled into a field-scale model. Modelers also were charged with publication of model documentation, validation, and a user manual. Model validation with available data and sensitivity analyses of parameters in the hydrology, erosion, plant nutrient, and pesticide components were essential to demonstrate the model capabilities and effectiveness. Technology transfer to NRCS personnel was necessary to gain acceptance and proper use as well as to identify weaknesses and areas for needed improvement. Following publication and NRCS acceptance, improvements to CREAMS were made to better represent soil layering, crop rotations, irrigation, soil water routing, and chemical movement, which resulted in the Groundwater Loading Effects of Agricultural Management Systems (GLEAMS) model. Climatic records were increased from a maximum of 20 years to 50 years. The modifications were validated with available data and included in subsequent publications. The user manual gives more comprehensive description of the model parameters and their relative sensitivity. This article describes the historical development of the CREAMS and GLEAMS models with an emphasis on providing model users with an understanding of the degree of model verification and validation that was undertaken during development of these multidisciplinary models. Model calibration is discussed, including sensitive parameters and recommended procedures. Finally, two specific case studies are presented along with brief synopses of numerous case studies that have been used to validate model components. Future users are encouraged to use the model source code to further expand its utility for analyzing the nonpoint-source pollution impacts of agricultural management practices.
机译:农业管理系统的化学物质,径流和侵蚀(CREAMS)模型是由美国农业部农业研究服务部的多学科研究科学家小组开发的。该模型的主要目的是协助美国农业部自然资源保护局(NRCS)专家评估农业地区的非点源污染并比较替代管理做法的影响。现有的易于修改和新的组件被组装到现场规模模型中。建模者还负责发布模型文档,验证和用户手册。具有可用数据的模型验证以及对水文,侵蚀,植物养分和农药成分参数的敏感性分析对于证明模型的功能和有效性至关重要。向NRCS人员转让技术是获得认可和正确使用以及发现不足和需要改进之处的必要条件。在出版物和NRCS接受之后,对CREAMS进行了改进,以更好地表示土壤分层,作物轮作,灌溉,土壤水流和化学运动,从而产生了农业管理系统(GLEAMS)的地下水负荷效应模型。气候记录从最长的20年增加到50年。修改已通过可用数据验证,并包含在后续出版物中。用户手册对模型参数及其相对灵敏度进行了更全面的描述。本文介绍了CREAMS和GLEAMS模型的历史发展,重点是使模型用户了解在这些多学科模型的开发过程中进行的模型验证和确认的程度。讨论了模型校准,包括敏感参数和推荐程序。最后,介绍了两个特定的案例研究以及用于验证模型组件的众多案例研究的简要提要。鼓励未来的用户使用模型源代码来进一步扩展其效用,以分析农业管理实践对面源污染的影响。

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