Grey Prediction of Chinese Farmland

摘要

Based on Chinese farmland quantity from the year 1996 to 2006, this paper usesthe grey prediction method to forecast the Chinese farmland quantity in mid and long terms.The predicted results show that, by the year 2020, Chinese farmland quantities of the upperprediction value, middle prediction value and lower prediction value will be respectively11336.180x10~4hm~2, 10910.824x10~2and 10655.611x10~2.