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首页> 外文期刊>Proceedings of the Workshop on Principles of Advanced and Distributed Simulation >EVALUATING POLICY INTERVENTIONS FOR DELAYED DISCHARGE: A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH
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EVALUATING POLICY INTERVENTIONS FOR DELAYED DISCHARGE: A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH

机译:评估延迟放电的政策干预措施:一种系统动力学方法

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摘要

Global population ageing is creating an immense pressure on hospitals to meet the growing demand for elderly healthcare services. Current demand-supply gaps results in prolonged waiting times for patients and substantial costs for hospitals due to delay in discharges. This paper uses System Dynamics (SD) methodology to map the dynamic flow of elderly patients in the Irish healthcare system. The developed system dynamic model helped decision makers to envisage the complexity resulted in the system due to the infringing parameters. Stock and flow intervention policies are proposed and evaluated subject to the projected future demographic changes. The model enables policy makers to identify potential strategic policies that will contribute significantly to overcome the delayed discharge for elderly patients. Future work will focus on using a modified model of the developed national model in order to assist local communities in Ireland in their long-term planning for non-acute service sector for elderly.
机译:全球人口老龄化给医院带来巨大压力,以满足对老年人保健服务不断增长的需求。当前的供需缺口导致病人的等待时间延长,并且由于出院延迟而导致医院的大量费用。本文使用系统动力学(SD)方法来绘制爱尔兰医疗保健系统中老年患者的动态流量。所开发的系统动态模型可帮助决策者设想由于参数侵权而导致系统的复杂性。根据预期的未来人口变化,提出并评估库存和流量干预政策。该模型使政策制定者能够确定潜在的战略政策,这些政策将大大有助于克服老年患者的延迟出院。未来的工作将集中在使用已开发的国家模型的修改模型上,以帮助爱尔兰的当地社区对老年人的非急性服务部门进行长期规划。

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