Development and evaluation of a hybrid travel time forecasting model

摘要

The purpose of this paper is to develop and evaluate a hybrid travel time forecasting model with geo- graphic information systems(GIS)technologies for predicting link travel in congested road networks. In a separate study by You and Kim(cf. You, J., Kim, T.J., 1999b. In: Proceedings of the Third Bi-Annual Conference of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 14-17 September, Taipei, Taiwan), a Non-parametric regression model has been developed as a core forecasting algorithm to reduce computation Time and increase forecasting accuracy.