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Competition among procrastinators

机译:拖延者之间的竞争

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I consider a situation in which workers have present-biased preferences and tend to procrastinate their tasks, but underestimate the degree of self-control problems that they will face in the future. Brocas and Carrillo (J Risk Uncertain 22:141-164, 2001) show that a form of competition always mitigates delay in a setting where agents are perfectly aware of their future self-control problems. However, I show that the introduction of the competition considered in their paper does not necessarily mitigate delay in a setting where agents underestimate the magnitude of their future self-control problems. The intuition is that competition reinforces their belief that they will complete earlier, which undermines their incentive to complete now. This result holds even when there is only one worker who severely underestimates the degree of his or her future self-control problem, suggesting that the mere existence of a single irrational agent can undermine the overall performance of organizations. Moreover, the intuition behind my result implies that, to mitigate procrastination, it is important to design schemes in which workers believe that they will not complete early in the future, e.g., reducing competition over time, increasing cost over time, or even enforcing no work day tomorrow.
机译:我认为这样一种情况,即工人有偏向于当前的偏好并且倾向于拖延他们的任务,但低估了他们将来将面临的自我控制问题的程度。 Brocas和Carrillo(J Risk Uncertain 22:141-164,2001)表明,竞争形式总是可以减轻代理人完全意识到其未来自我控制问题的环境中的延迟。但是,我表明,他们的论文中考虑的竞争的引入并不一定减轻代理人低估了其未来自我控制问题的严重性的情况下的延迟。直觉是竞争加剧了他们相信他们会更早完成的信念,这削弱了他们现在完成的动力。即使只有一名工人严重低估了他或她未来的自我控制问题的程度,这一结果仍然成立,这表明仅存在一个非理性的代理人便会损害组织的整体绩效。此外,我的结果背后的直觉意味着,为了减轻拖延,设计一种方案,使工人相信他们不会在未来的早期完成很重要,例如,随着时间的流逝减少竞争,随着时间的推移增加成本,甚至不执行任何措施。明天上班。

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