There are lots of questions surrounding UK passenger numbers, and how things will look in the future. Can we predict how much they will be affected? When will they recover? And what kind of demand for air travel will we have in the near future? Since commercial aviation's inception, the world has not seen a global pandemic like COVID-19. Fleets have never been grounded for this long, so it's difficult to find accurate comparisons. But we can look at other variables to get a value to compare -namely GDP (Gross Domestic Product). First, when we look at both annual passenger numbers (data from the World Bank) and annual real UK GDP (data from the Office for National Statistics) since 1970, we see there is a similar pattern of positive growth (see Figure 1).
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