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Petitioning Beijing: The High Tide of 2003-2006

机译:请愿北京:2003-2006年的高潮

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What precipitated the 2003-06 "high tide" of petitioning Beijing and why did the tide wane? Interviews and archival sources suggest that a marked increase in petitioners coming to the capital was at least in part a response to encouraging signals that emerged when Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao adopted a more populist leadership style. Because the presence of tens of thousands of petitioners helped expose policy failures of the previous leadership team, the Hu-Wen leadership appeared reasonably accommodating when petitioners arrived en masse in Beijing. Soon, however, the authorities shifted towards control and suppression, partly because frustrated petitioners employed disruptive tactics to draw attention from the Centre. In response to pressure from above, local authorities, especially county leaders, turned to coercion to contain assertive petitioners and used bribery to coax officials in the State Bureau of Letters and Visits to delete petition registrations. The high tide receded in late 2006 and was largely over by 2008. This article suggests that a high tide is more likely after a central leadership change, especially if a populist programme strikes a chord with the population and elite turnover augments confidence in the Centre and heightens expectations that it will be responsive to popular demands.
机译:是什么促使2003-06年度向北京请愿的“高潮”发生,为什么这种潮流消失了?采访和档案资料表明,访京的访民人数显着增加至少部分是对胡锦涛和温家宝采取更加民粹主义的领导风格时出现的令人鼓舞的信号的反应。由于成千上万的上访者的存在帮助揭露了前任领导团队的政策失误,因此,当上访者大规模抵达北京时,胡温领导层显得相当宽容。但是,当局很快转向了控制和镇压,部分原因是沮丧的请愿者采用破坏性策略来吸引中心的注意。为了应对来自上级的压力,地方当局,特别是县领导,求助于遏制自信的请愿者,并利用贿赂诱骗国家信访局的官员删除了请愿登记。高潮在2006年底消退,到2008年基本上已经结束。本文表明,中央领导层更迭后,高潮更有可能发生,特别是如果民粹主义计划引起民众的共鸣,而精英人才流动则增强了对中心的信心。增强了对流行需求的响应的期望。

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