Scenario-based modeling and solving research on robust weapon project planning problems

摘要

Weapon project planning (WPP) plays a critical role in the process of national defense development and establishment of the future national defense force. WPP faces the backgrounds of various uncertainties, intense inter-influence of weapon systems and involves modelling, assessment, and optimization procedures. The contents of this paper are mainly divided into three parts: first, the WPP processes are analyzed, and related elements are formulated to transform the qualitative problem to mathematics form; second, the value evaluation model of WPP solutions is proposed based on two criteria of total capability gap and total capability dispersion; third, two robustness optimization models are constructed based on the absolute robustness criterion and the robustness deviation criterion to support the robustness optimization process under multi-scenario. Finally, a case is studied to examine the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed models and approaches.