Bringing cognition into strategic interactions: Strategic mental models and open questions

摘要

Research SummaryThis article explicitly introduces cognitive considerations into the treatment of strategic interactions, using the value-based framework as an extended example. Through real-world examples and prior empirical findings, it shows that many of the implicit assumptions of the framework are regularly violated in practice when actors simplify their complex realities into incomplete, inaccurate mental models. These violations lead to outcomes that are often contrary to the predictions of the classical framework. As initial steps toward developing a cognitively grounded theory of strategic interactions, the article characterizes the core components of strategic mental models that might form the foundation of such a theory and then lays out some open questions that this theory would need to address. These questions, when answered, can point to novel cognitive capabilities.