Semi-parametric adjustment to computer models

摘要

Computer simulations are widely used in scientific exploration and engineering designs. However, computer outputs usually do not match the reality perfectly because the computer models are built under certain simplifications and approximations. When physical observations are also available, statistical methods can be applied to estimate the discrepancy between the computer output and the physical response. In this article, we propose a semi-parametric method for statistical adjustments to computer models. The proposed method is proven to enjoy nice theoretical properties. We use three numerical studies and a real example to examine the predictive performance of the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method outperforms existing methods.