Climate change: Seduction of the Sirens: global climate change And modelling

Simon Shackley; Eric Darier

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Climate change: Seduction of the Sirens: global climate change And modelling

机译：气候变化：警报器的诱惑：全球气候变化与模型

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Presented as a dialogue between two of the Sirens of Greek mythology, this paper is an Illustrative case study of how environmental Discourses emerge from the 'blurry' interspaces Between global environmental policy, computer Modelling, scientific and lay knowledge, the Daily life of citizens in cities, commitment to 'democracy' and a European Union funded project.

机译：作为希腊神话中的两个警报器之间的对话而提出，本文是对全球环境政策，计算机建模，科学和非专业知识，希腊公民的日常生活之间“模糊”空间如何出现环境话语的说明性案例研究。城市，“民主”承诺和欧盟资助的项目。

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《Science and Public Policy》 |1998年第5期|p.313-325|共13页
作者
Simon Shackley; Eric Darier;
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收录信息美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类自然科学总论;
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入库时间 2022-08-18 00:38:28

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机译：气候变化与人类健康：非洲马里水供应，营养不良和生计的空间模型。（特别部分：全球气候变化对健康的影响：地域视角。）
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机译：检查气候变化对使用雨水进行替代供水的影响：一种通过全球气候模型的连续模拟水文建模的方法
5. Assessing the 20th century performance of global climate models and application to climate change adaptation planning. [D] . Geil, Kerrie. 2017

机译：评估20世纪全球气候模式的绩效并将其应用于气候变化适应规划。
6. Changes in climate extremes fresh water availability and vulnerability to food insecurity projected at 1.5°C and 2°C global warming with a higher-resolution global climate model [O] . Richard A. Betts, Lorenzo Alfieri, Catherine Bradshaw, -1

机译：通过更高分辨率的全球气候模型预计极端气候的变化淡水的可获得性和对粮食不安全的脆弱性将在全球升温1.5°C和2°C的情况下进行
7. The oceans mediate the response of global climate to natural and anthropogenic forcings. Yet for the past 2,000 years — a key interval for understanding the present and future climate response to these forcings — global sea surface temperature changes and the underlying driving mechanisms are poorly constrained. Here we present a global synthesis of sea surface temperatures for the Common Era (ce) derived from 57 individual marine reconstructions that meet strict quality control criteria. We observe a cooling trend from 1 to 1800 ce that is robust against explicit tests for potential biases in the reconstructions. Between 801 and 1800 ce, the surface cooling trend is qualitatively consistent with an independent synthesis of terrestrial temperature reconstructions, and with a sea surface temperature composite derived from an ensemble of climate model simulations using best estimates of past external radiative forcings. Climate simulations using single and cumulative forcings suggest that the ocean surface cooling trend from 801 to 1800 ce is not primarily a response to orbital forcing but arises from a high frequency of explosive volcanism. Our results show that repeated clusters of volcanic eruptions can induce a net negative radiative forcing that results in a centennial and global scale cooling trend via a decline in mixed-layer oceanic heat content. [O] . McGregor, Helen V., Evans, Michael N., Goosse, Hugues, 2015

机译：海洋调节了全球气候对自然和人为强迫的响应。然而，在过去的2,000年中（这是了解当前和未来气候对这些强迫的响应的关键间隔），全球海表温度变化及其潜在的驱动机制受到的约束很有限。在这里，我们提出了一个共同的时期（ce）的全球海面温度的全球综合，该综合来自57个符合严格质量控制标准的海洋重建项目。我们观察到从1到1800 ce的冷却趋势，对于显式测试重建中潜在的偏倚而言，该趋势很稳健。在801至1800 ce之间，表面降温趋势在质量上与地面温度重建的独立合成以及从使用过去外部辐射强迫的最佳估计的气候模型模拟集合推导出的海面温度合成在质量上是一致的。使用单一和累积强迫的气候模拟表明，从801到1800 ce的海洋表面冷却趋势主要不是对轨道强迫的反应，而是爆炸性火山爆发的频繁发生。我们的结果表明，火山喷发的反复簇可引起净的负辐射强迫，这会导致混合层海洋热量降低而导致百年和全球规模的降温趋势。
8. Global Climate Change Response Program: Hydrological Predictands for Climate-Change Modeling [R] . Ward, G. H., Proesmans, P. 1996

机译：全球气候变化响应计划：气候变化模拟的水文预测

Climate change: Seduction of the Sirens: global climate change And modelling

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