Condition, safety and cost profiles for deteriorating structures with emphasis on bridges

摘要

After an enormous investment in construction of highway networks undertaken In the second half of the 20th century, the highway networks of most European and North American countries are now completed or close to completion. As a result, the need in funding changed from building new highway structures to repair, rehabilitation, and replacement the existing ones. In this paper, a model for analyzing the evolution in time of probabilistic performance indicators of existing structures, in terms of condition, safety, and cost under no maintenance, preventive maintenance, and essential maintenance, is presented. This model integrates the current practice in bridge management systems based on visual inspections (condition index) with structural assessment (safety index) during the lifetime of existing structures. The proposed model allows the consideration of uncertainties in the performance deterioration process, times of application of maintenance actions, and in the effects of maintenance actions on the condition, safety, and life-cycle cost of structures by defining all parameters involved in the model as random variables. Interaction between condition and safety profiles is defined through probabilistic and deterministic relations. The probabilistic characteristics of the condition, safety, and cost profiles of deteriorating structures are computed by Monte-Carlo simulation. Several realistic examples, based on data on highway bridge components gathered in the United Kingdom, are presented.