Academic Performance Prediction Based on Multisource, Multifeature Behavioral Data

摘要

Digital data trails from disparate sources covering different aspects of student life are stored daily in most modern university campuses. However, it remains challenging to (i) combine these data to obtain a holistic view of a student, (ii) use these data to accurately predict academic performance, and (iii) use such predictions to promote positive student engagement with the university. To initially alleviate this problem, in this article, a model named Augmented Education (AugmentED) is proposed. In our study, (1) first, an experiment is conducted based on a real-world campus dataset of college students ( $N =156$ ) that aggregates multisource behavioral data covering not only online and offline learning but also behaviors inside and outside of the classroom. Specifically, to gain in-depth insight into the features leading to excellent or poor performance, metrics measuring the linear and nonlinear behavioral changes (e.g., regularity and stability) of campus lifestyles are estimated; furthermore, features representing dynamic changes in temporal lifestyle patterns are extracted by the means of long short-term memory (LSTM). (2) Second, machine learning-based classification algorithms are developed to predict academic performance. (3) Finally, visualized feedback enabling students (especially at-risk students) to potentially optimize their interactions with the university and achieve a study-life balance is designed. The experiments show that the AugmentED model can predict students’ academic performance with high accuracy.