TRANSIENT ANALYSIS OF LINEAR BIRTH-DEATH PROCESSES WITH IMMIGRATION AND EMIGRATION

摘要

Linear birth-death processes with immigration and emigration are major models in the study of population processes of biological and ecological systems, and their transient analysis is important in the understanding of the structural behavior of such systems. The spectral method has been widely used for solving these processes; see, for example, Karlin and McGregor. In this article, we provide an alternative approach: the method of characteristics. This method yields a Volterra-type integral equation for the chance of extinction and an explicit formula for the z-transform of the transient distribution. These results allow us to obtain closed-form solutions for the transient behavior of several cases that have not been previously explicitly presented in the literature.